Oneonta State Forecasting Contest


Week 6 results are posted below.

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Images by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
Binghamton National Weather Service office

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage



  ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

STANDINGS FOR WEEK 6 OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Linek 44 GOLD MEDAL 1 Loveless 325
2 Morrill 50 SILVER MEDAL 2 Blechman 356
3 Chapman 52 BRONZE MEDAL 3 Linek 372
4 Walker 53 4 GUIDANCE 373
5 Loveless 55 5 Young 375
5 GUIDANCE 55 6 Morrill 389
5 Makower-Brown 55 7 Lyakhov 428
8 Visnosky 58 8 Byrnes 437
9 Young 62 8 Makower-Brown 437
10 Byrnes 65 10 Walker 458
11 Blechman 67 11 Galligan 486
12 Galligan 76 12 Gaynor 502
13 CONSENSUS 82 13 Visnosky 522
14 Gaynor 87 14 CONSENSUS 554
15 Juliano 89 15 Juliano 561
16 Lyakhov 120 16 Chapman 583
16 Baum 120 17 Baum 586
16 Graham 120 18 Graham 640
16 Scully 120 19 Scully 695
16 Dubbs 120 20 Dubbs 717
16 Berchoff 120 21 Berchoff 748
22 PERSISTENCE 209 22 PERSISTENCE 881


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

67 52 0 75 67 0 72 62 5 73 52 2 65 53 2 55 37 3
72 62 5 73 52 2 65 53 2 55 37 3 39 32 2





SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 67 53 2 64 53 0 55 37 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 0 1 0 6 0 0 6

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 65 47 0 57 38 0 43 31 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 2 1 9 4 1 6


FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 66 50 2 62 48 0 57 37 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 2 0 3 5 6 2 0 6

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 62 48 0 57 37 1 44 29 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 6 2 0 6 5 3 6


FORECASTER: Linek
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 68 54 2 63 52 0 56 35 2
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 2 1 6 1 2 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 64 50 1 56 36 2 42 31 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 1 1 3 3 1 6


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 67 51 2 63 50 0 56 35 2
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 0 2 3 6 1 2 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 64 47 0 59 36 2 44 30 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 6 4 1 3 5 2 3


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 64 52 0 56 37 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 1 1 6 1 0 6

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 56 37 1 43 31 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 1 0 6 4 1 6


FORECASTER: Morrill
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 68 53 2 64 53 0 57 38 2
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 1 0 6 2 1 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 65 48 0 57 39 1 45 33 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 2 2 6 6 1 3


FORECASTER: Lyakhov
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 8 1 0 10 16 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 10 16 3 16 5 3


FORECASTER: Byrnes
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 61 51 0 55 36 2
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 4 2 6 0 1 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 55 34 1 42 30 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 0 3 6 3 2 6


FORECASTER: MakowerBrown
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 68 52 2 64 50 0 55 36 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 3 6 0 1 6

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 65 47 0 56 36 1 43 29 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 1 1 6 4 3 6


FORECASTER: Walker
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 66 53 3 63 50 2 55 35 2
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 3 2 3 0 0 2 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 65 48 1 60 35 1 45 30 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 5 2 6 6 2 3


FORECASTER: Galligan
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 65 50 0 59 35 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 0 3 6 4 2 6

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 59 36 1 45 29 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 4 1 6 6 3 6


FORECASTER: Gaynor
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 71 54 2 63 50 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 3 6 10 16 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 67 50 1 58 39 1 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 3 2 6 16 5 3


FORECASTER: Visnosky
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 70 53 2 64 51 0 56 35 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 1 2 6 1 2 6

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 65 45 0 56 38 1 44 29 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 6 1 1 6 5 3 6


FORECASTER: Juliano
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 67 50 2 63 49 1 62 49 1
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 0 2 4 3 7 12 6

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 62 50 1 56 50 2 57 35 2
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 1 13 3 18 3 0


FORECASTER: Chapman
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 69 51 2 65 51 0 58 36 2
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 2 6 3 1 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 64 48 0 59 37 2 45 31 0
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 6 4 0 3 6 1 6


FORECASTER: Baum
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 8 1 0 10 16 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 10 16 3 16 5 3


FORECASTER: Graham
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 8 1 0 10 16 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 10 16 3 16 5 3


FORECASTER: Scully
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 8 1 0 10 16 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 10 16 3 16 5 3


FORECASTER: Dubbs
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 8 1 0 10 16 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 10 16 3 16 5 3


FORECASTER: Berchoff
24HR FCST: 75 67 0 72 62 5 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 9 8 1 0 10 16 3

48HR FCST: 72 62 5 73 52 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 10 16 3 16 5 3


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 15 0 3 5 15 1 10 9 8 1 0 10 16 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 3 5 15 1 10 9 8 1 0 10 16 3 16 5 3