Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

Forecasting for Spring 2012 has begun.  
You may still enter but you must hurry. Every day missed is a persistence forecast.
If you want to forecast this semester, e-mail Dr. Blechman
(please do that even if you were in the Fall contest)
If you got an e-mail from Dr. Blechman announcing the contest, you are already entered

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Images by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
             

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

  • Surface maps from the HPC
  • Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
  • Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
  • National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
  • NCEP model forecast maps
  • Surface progs from HPC
  • Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
  • Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
  • Binghamton National Weather Service office
    •

    To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

    UserCode:



    If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

    Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

    To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman

    Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage

     
     Results from Fall 2011 
    
          

            ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST - Final Results, Fall 2011

              STANDINGS FOR WEEK 13                         Final OVERALL STANDINGS

     PLACE   NAME           POINTS              PLACE   NAME           POINTS


        1    Blechman        67  GOLD MEDAL        1    Blechman       975
        2    GUIDANCE        82  SILVER MEDAL      2    King           976
        3    King            93  BRONZE MEDAL      3    Linek         1011
        4    Loveless        96                    4    Loveless      1023
        4    Messina         96                    5    Messina       1050
        6    Linek           97                    6    Gaynor        1168
        7    Beckemeyer     114                    7    Beckemeyer    1210
        7    Jackson        114                    8    GUIDANCE      1271
        9    CONSENSUS      116                    9    Galligan      1296
       10    Galligan       127                   10    Jackson       1354
       11    Gaynor         166                   11    CONSENSUS     1371
       11    Constantino    166                   12    Constantino   1732
       11    Steinhaus      166                   13    Steinhaus     1826
       11    Jaworski       166                   14    Jaworski      1843
       11    PERSISTENCE    166                   15    PERSISTENCE   1954


     VERIFICATIONS:
      PERSISTENCE    DAY  1       DAY  2       DAY  3       DAY  4       DAY  5   

        57  30  2    55  38  3    38  28  5    34  28  0    38  27  0    30  18  0
                     38  28  5    34  28  0    38  27  0    30  18  0    34  19  0
      
      
      
      
      
     SCORING:
     ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
     THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
     999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



     NAME             DAY  1       DAY  2       DAY  3       DAY  4       DAY  5   

     FORECASTER: Blechman    
     24HR FCST:    48  32   3   40  28   2   35  24   0   39  24   1   31  18   0
     ERROR PTS:     7   6   0    2   0   9    1   4   0    1   3   3    1   0   0

     48HR FCST:    38  28   1   35  24   0   37  21   1   32  17   0   34  19   0
     ERROR PTS:     0   0  12    1   4   0    1   6   3    2   1   0    0   0   0


     FORECASTER: King        
     24HR FCST:    50  30   1   40  27   2   38  23   0   42  23   0   33  18   0
     ERROR PTS:     5   8   6    2   1   9    4   5   0    4   4   0    3   0   0

     48HR FCST:    40  25   0   37  24   0   38  21   0   35  18   0   36  21   0
     ERROR PTS:     2   3  15    3   4   0    0   6   0    5   0   0    2   2   0


     FORECASTER: Linek       
     24HR FCST:    49  34   2   39  28   2   36  24   2   41  25   1  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     6   4   3    1   0   9    2   4   6    3   2   3    8   9   0

     48HR FCST:    40  25   1   36  26   0   37  23   1   33  18   0  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     2   3  12    2   2   0    1   4   3    3   0   0    4   1   0


     FORECASTER: Loveless    
     24HR FCST:    47  31   2   40  27   2   36  24   1   40  24   1   35  21   0
     ERROR PTS:     8   7   3    2   1   9    2   4   3    2   3   3    5   3   0

     48HR FCST:    40  27   0   35  25   0   38  22   0   32  20   0   40  23   0
     ERROR PTS:     2   1  15    1   3   0    0   5   0    2   2   0    6   4   0


     FORECASTER: Messina     
     24HR FCST:    46  31   2   43  23   3   37  28   0   41  25   1   34  16   0
     ERROR PTS:     9   7   3    5   5   6    3   0   0    3   2   3    4   2   0

     48HR FCST:    41  27   0   37  22   0   39  24   1   31  17   0   39  21   0
     ERROR PTS:     3   1  15    3   6   0    1   3   3    1   1   0    5   2   0


     FORECASTER: Gaynor      
     24HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     2   8   3   17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0

     48HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:    17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0    4   1   0


     FORECASTER: Beckemeyer  
     24HR FCST:    47  30   1   39  27   0   38  23   0   40  25   0   39  25   0
     ERROR PTS:     8   8   6    1   1  15    4   5   0    2   2   0    9   7   0

     48HR FCST:    40  26   0   37  23   0   38  24   0   34  19   0   39  25   0
     ERROR PTS:     2   2  15    3   5   0    0   3   0    4   1   0    5   6   0


     FORECASTER: GUIDANCE    
     24HR FCST:    46  31   2   39  26   2   37  26   1   41  27   0   31  19   0
     ERROR PTS:     9   7   3    1   2   9    3   2   3    3   0   0    1   1   0

     48HR FCST:    38  26   1   35  22   1   38  25   1   31  19   0   35  25   0
     ERROR PTS:     0   2  12    1   6   3    0   2   3    1   1   0    1   6   0


     FORECASTER: Galligan    
     24HR FCST:    48  34   2   45  29   2   39  24   1   43  27   1  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     7   4   3    7   1   9    5   4   3    5   0   3    8   9   0

     48HR FCST:    45  29   1   40  28   1   40  25   2   37  23   1  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     7   1  12    6   0   3    2   2   6    7   5   3    4   1   0


     FORECASTER: Jackson     
     24HR FCST:    45  30   2   40  27   3  999 999 999   39  27   1  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:    10   8   3    2   1   6    4   0  15    1   0   3    8   9   0

     48HR FCST:    39  23   0   39  26   0  999 999 999   34  16   0  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     1   5  15    5   2   0    4   1   0    4   2   0    4   1   0


     FORECASTER: Constantino 
     24HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     2   8   3   17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0

     48HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:    17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0    4   1   0


     FORECASTER: Steinhaus   
     24HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     2   8   3   17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0

     48HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:    17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0    4   1   0


     FORECASTER: Jaworski    
     24HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     2   8   3   17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0

     48HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:    17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0    4   1   0


     FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE 
     24HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:     2   8   3   17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0

     48HR FCST:   999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999  999 999 999
     ERROR PTS:    17  10   6    4   0  15    4   1   0    8   9   0    4   1   0