Oneonta State Forecasting Contest


Week 1 results are posted below.

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Images by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
Binghamton National Weather Service office

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage



       


ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

STANDINGS FOR WEEK 1 OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Blechman 58 GOLD MEDAL 1 Blechman 58
2 Linek 64 SILVER MEDAL 2 Linek 64
3 GUIDANCE 67 BRONZE MEDAL 3 GUIDANCE 67
4 Loveless 70 4 Loveless 70
4 Byrnes 70 4 Byrnes 70
6 Lyakhov 78 6 Lyakhov 78
7 Makower-Brown 88 7 Makower-Brown 88
8 Morrill 95 8 Morrill 95
9 Young 98 9 Young 98
10 Gaynor 99 10 Gaynor 99
11 Dubbs 103 11 Dubbs 103
12 CONSENSUS 104 12 CONSENSUS 104
13 Galligan 107 13 Galligan 107
14 Berchoff 108 14 Berchoff 108
15 Baum 113 15 Baum 113
16 Walker 118 16 Walker 118
17 Visnosky 120 17 Visnosky 120
18 Scully 124 18 Scully 124
19 Chapman 145 19 Chapman 145
20 Graham 146 20 Graham 146
21 Juliano 150 21 Juliano 150
22 PERSISTENCE 152 22 PERSISTENCE 152


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

74 47 0 74 53 0 76 61 1 75 47 1 57 42 0 57 45 3
76 61 1 75 47 1 57 42 0 57 45 3 61 44 0





SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 71 52 0 76 58 0 73 48 2 61 45 0 59 44 3
ERROR PTS: 3 1 0 0 3 3 2 1 3 4 3 0 2 1 0

48HR FCST: 74 56 0 74 50 2 62 45 0 59 44 3 63 42 0
ERROR PTS: 2 5 3 1 3 3 5 3 0 2 1 0 2 2 0


FORECASTER: Linek
24HR FCST: 73 52 0 76 59 0 72 48 2 62 43 0 61 43 2
ERROR PTS: 1 1 0 0 2 3 3 1 3 5 1 0 4 2 3

48HR FCST: 76 58 0 70 50 2 64 44 0 58 44 2 60 41 0
ERROR PTS: 0 3 3 5 3 3 7 2 0 1 1 3 1 3 0


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 73 51 0 76 56 0 71 48 3 61 44 0 60 45 3
ERROR PTS: 1 2 0 0 5 3 4 1 6 4 2 0 3 0 0

48HR FCST: 74 57 0 73 49 2 61 43 0 61 42 2 61 39 0
ERROR PTS: 2 4 3 2 2 3 4 1 0 4 3 3 0 5 0


FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 74 54 0 75 59 0 72 47 2 63 44 0 58 42 1
ERROR PTS: 0 1 0 1 2 3 3 0 3 6 2 0 1 3 6

48HR FCST: 75 60 0 72 50 2 65 45 0 60 45 1 62 40 0
ERROR PTS: 1 1 3 3 3 3 8 3 0 3 0 6 1 4 0


FORECASTER: Byrnes
24HR FCST: 73 52 0 78 55 0 74 46 2 63 43 0 58 43 3
ERROR PTS: 1 1 0 2 6 3 1 1 3 6 1 0 1 2 0

48HR FCST: 77 51 0 75 49 2 65 45 0 60 44 2 60 40 0
ERROR PTS: 1 10 3 0 2 3 8 3 0 3 1 3 1 4 0


FORECASTER: Lyakhov
24HR FCST: 73 55 0 79 59 0 73 46 0 64 44 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 2 0 3 2 3 2 1 3 7 2 0 0 3 9

48HR FCST: 77 61 0 75 49 2 61 46 0 59 41 2 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 0 3 0 2 3 4 4 0 2 4 3 4 1 9


FORECASTER: Makower-Brown
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 73 46 3 62 44 0 60 44 2
ERROR PTS: 0 6 0 2 8 3 2 1 6 5 2 0 3 1 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 62 45 0 56 45 2 63 40 0
ERROR PTS: 2 8 3 1 14 0 5 3 0 1 0 3 2 4 0


FORECASTER: Morrill
24HR FCST: 71 52 0 76 57 0 71 46 2 999 999 999 61 44 1
ERROR PTS: 3 1 0 0 4 3 4 1 3 18 5 3 4 1 6

48HR FCST: 74 59 0 73 49 2 63 43 0 999 999 999 63 40 0
ERROR PTS: 2 2 3 2 2 3 6 1 0 0 3 9 2 4 0


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 73 52 0 999 999 999 72 48 3 63 44 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 0 2 8 3 3 1 6 6 2 0 0 3 9

48HR FCST: 75 59 0 999 999 999 63 43 0 60 43 1 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 2 3 1 14 0 6 1 0 3 2 6 4 1 9


FORECASTER: Gaynor
24HR FCST: 72 46 0 76 49 0 71 49 2 61 41 0 59 41 1
ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 0 12 3 4 2 3 4 1 0 2 4 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 74 54 2 63 44 0 59 44 1 61 39 1
ERROR PTS: 2 8 3 1 7 3 6 2 0 2 1 6 0 5 3


FORECASTER: Dubbs
24HR FCST: 72 50 0 76 58 0 72 45 0 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 3 0 0 3 3 3 2 3 18 5 3 0 3 9

48HR FCST: 74 59 0 71 48 1 63 40 0 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 2 3 4 1 0 6 2 0 0 3 9 4 1 9


FORECASTER: Galligan
24HR FCST: 72 50 0 79 57 0 73 46 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 3 0 3 4 3 2 1 3 18 5 3 0 3 9

48HR FCST: 75 61 0 74 49 2 65 43 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 0 3 1 2 3 8 1 3 0 3 9 4 1 9


FORECASTER: Berchoff
24HR FCST: 73 52 0 76 47 0 70 60 1 64 47 0 57 41 2
ERROR PTS: 1 1 0 0 14 3 5 13 0 7 5 0 0 4 3

48HR FCST: 78 52 0 73 50 3 64 45 0 62 42 2 62 39 0
ERROR PTS: 2 9 3 2 3 6 7 3 0 5 3 3 1 5 0


FORECASTER: Baum
24HR FCST: 70 50 0 77 51 0 71 51 2 999 999 999 59 45 2
ERROR PTS: 4 3 0 1 10 3 4 4 3 18 5 3 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 73 53 0 72 50 2 64 46 0 999 999 999 61 40 0
ERROR PTS: 3 8 3 3 3 3 7 4 0 0 3 9 0 4 0


FORECASTER: Walker
24HR FCST: 73 48 0 76 58 0 999 999 999 63 43 0 57 43 1
ERROR PTS: 1 5 0 0 3 3 1 14 0 6 1 0 0 2 6

48HR FCST: 75 51 0 71 51 3 999 999 999 62 42 1 60 37 0
ERROR PTS: 1 10 3 4 4 6 18 5 3 5 3 6 1 7 0


FORECASTER: Visnosky
24HR FCST: 74 48 0 79 50 0 74 58 2 62 42 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 5 0 3 11 3 1 11 3 5 0 0 0 3 9

48HR FCST: 77 53 0 72 57 2 64 49 0 61 45 1 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 8 3 3 10 3 7 7 0 4 0 6 4 1 9


FORECASTER: Scully
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 74 50 0 72 49 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 6 0 2 11 3 3 2 0 18 5 3 0 3 9

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 72 49 1 63 51 0 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 8 3 3 2 0 6 9 0 0 3 9 4 1 9


FORECASTER: Chapman
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 73 50 0 71 57 1 46 71 0 62 43 0
ERROR PTS: 0 6 0 3 11 3 4 10 0 11 29 0 5 2 9

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 78 50 1 63 46 1 62 43 0 61 45 1
ERROR PTS: 2 8 3 3 3 0 6 4 3 5 2 9 0 1 3


FORECASTER: Graham
24HR FCST: 72 50 0 75 50 0 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 3 0 1 11 3 1 14 0 18 5 3 0 3 9

48HR FCST: 75 51 0 71 47 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 10 3 4 0 3 18 5 3 0 3 9 4 1 9


FORECASTER: Juliano
24HR FCST: 73 50 0 72 56 0 74 61 2 999 999 999 60 46 0
ERROR PTS: 1 3 0 4 5 3 1 14 3 18 5 3 3 1 9

48HR FCST: 74 49 0 75 60 2 71 47 2 999 999 999 61 43 2
ERROR PTS: 2 12 3 0 13 3 14 5 6 0 3 9 0 1 6


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 6 0 2 8 3 1 14 0 18 5 3 0 3 9

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 8 3 1 14 0 18 5 3 0 3 9 4 1 9