Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

Results from Spring 2013 Week 5 are posted below. 


To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Images by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws"
 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

  • Surface maps from the HPC
  • Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
  • Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
  • National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
  • NCEP model forecast maps
  • Surface progs from HPC
  • Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
  • Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
  • Binghamton National Weather Service office


  • To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

    UserCode:



    If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

    Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

    To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


    Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


    
    
              Results of Week 5 Spring 2013   





    ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

    STANDINGS FOR WEEK 5 OVERALL STANDINGS

    PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


    1 GUIDANCE 64 GOLD MEDAL 1 Blechman 342
    2 Blechman 71 SILVER MEDAL 2 Loveless 397
    3 Galligan 84 BRONZE MEDAL 3 King 421
    4 Loveless 96 4 Linek 439
    5 King 97 5 GUIDANCE 443
    6 Linek 99 6 Galligan 528
    7 CONSENSUS 115 7 CONSENSUS 529
    8 Baum 127 8 Baum 530
    9 Messina 166 9 Messina 566
    9 Browarski 166 10 Browarski 584
    9 Dubbs 166 11 Dubbs 693
    9 Contract 166 12 Contract 713
    9 PERSISTENCE 166 13 PERSISTENCE 730


    VERIFICATIONS:
    PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

    53 44 1 51 32 4 40 17 1 28 17 0 32 19 1 30 15 0
    40 17 1 28 17 0 32 19 1 30 15 0 28 10 0





    SCORING:
    ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
    THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
    999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



    NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

    FORECASTER: Blechman
    24HR FCST: 46 27 3 36 19 1 25 15 0 36 22 1 34 18 0
    ERROR PTS: 5 5 3 4 2 0 3 2 0 4 3 0 4 3 0

    48HR FCST: 36 23 1 27 17 0 36 24 1 34 18 0 32 12 0
    ERROR PTS: 4 6 0 1 0 0 4 5 0 4 3 0 4 2 0


    FORECASTER: Loveless
    24HR FCST: 46 28 2 34 22 1 25 16 1 999 999 999 35 19 0
    ERROR PTS: 5 4 6 6 5 0 3 1 3 4 2 3 5 4 0

    48HR FCST: 37 24 1 29 19 0 34 22 1 999 999 999 38 18 0
    ERROR PTS: 3 7 0 1 2 0 2 3 0 2 4 3 10 8 0


    FORECASTER: King
    24HR FCST: 46 26 2 42 18 2 22 12 2 39 20 0 34 16 0
    ERROR PTS: 5 6 6 2 1 3 6 5 6 7 1 3 4 1 0

    48HR FCST: 37 17 1 25 12 1 37 18 1 33 16 0 35 20 0
    ERROR PTS: 3 0 0 3 5 3 5 1 0 3 1 0 7 10 0


    FORECASTER: Linek
    24HR FCST: 47 29 3 38 22 2 24 16 2 37 21 0 33 19 0
    ERROR PTS: 4 3 3 2 5 3 4 1 6 5 2 3 3 4 0

    48HR FCST: 39 23 2 27 18 1 35 25 0 33 19 0 35 20 0
    ERROR PTS: 1 6 3 1 1 3 3 6 3 3 4 0 7 10 0


    FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
    24HR FCST: 48 29 4 38 17 0 22 18 0 36 23 0 29 16 0
    ERROR PTS: 3 3 0 2 0 3 6 1 0 4 4 3 1 1 0

    48HR FCST: 37 19 1 26 18 0 34 28 0 32 20 0 28 14 0
    ERROR PTS: 3 2 0 2 1 0 2 9 3 2 5 0 0 4 0


    FORECASTER: Galligan
    24HR FCST: 45 26 3 39 21 1 24 14 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 6 6 3 1 4 0 4 3 3 4 2 3 2 4 3

    48HR FCST: 40 22 1 28 18 1 36 26 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 0 5 0 0 1 3 4 7 0 2 4 3 2 5 0


    FORECASTER: Baum
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 38 17 1 22 13 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 12 9 2 0 0 6 4 6 4 2 3 2 4 3

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 27 17 1 36 25 0 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 11 15 9 1 0 3 4 6 3 2 4 3 2 5 0


    FORECASTER: Messina
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 20 9 2 39 17 1 32 17 0
    ERROR PTS: 2 12 9 11 15 9 8 8 6 7 2 0 2 2 0

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 33 11 1 35 16 0 30 16 0
    ERROR PTS: 11 15 9 12 0 3 1 8 0 5 1 0 2 6 0


    FORECASTER: Browarski
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 12 9 11 15 9 12 0 3 4 2 3 2 4 3

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 11 15 9 12 0 3 4 2 3 2 4 3 2 5 0


    FORECASTER: Dubbs
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 12 9 11 15 9 12 0 3 4 2 3 2 4 3

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 11 15 9 12 0 3 4 2 3 2 4 3 2 5 0


    FORECASTER: Contract
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 12 9 11 15 9 12 0 3 4 2 3 2 4 3

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 11 15 9 12 0 3 4 2 3 2 4 3 2 5 0


    FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 12 9 11 15 9 12 0 3 4 2 3 2 4 3

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 11 15 9 12 0 3 4 2 3 2 4 3 2 5 0