Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

 Week 9 results are posted below.

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
Binghamton National Weather Service office


Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


(note:  CONSENSUS is the average of the best and worst error points, GUIDANCE is the NWS forecast from approx. 16Z)


         ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

STANDINGS FOR WEEK 9 OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Obee 71 GOLD MEDAL 1 Blechman 655
2 GUIDANCE 88 SILVER MEDAL 2 Obee 733
3 Blechman 101 BRONZE MEDAL 3 Morrill 838
4 Walker 103 4 GUIDANCE 876
5 Juliano 109 5 Chapman 901
6 Young 110 6 Walker 985
7 Chapman 131 7 Young 1034
8 CONSENSUS 135 8 Loveless 1063
9 Morrill 143 9 Makower-Brown 1203
10 Makower-Brown 150 10 CONSENSUS 1211
11 Loveless 171 11 Juliano 1338
12 Constantino 199 12 Constantino 1704
12 Murphy 199 13 Murphy 1739
12 Scully 199 14 Scully 1813
12 PERSISTENCE 199 15 PERSISTENCE 1815


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

61 36 0 47 34 2 38 35 4 46 36 4 57 37 2 40 30 0
38 35 4 46 36 4 57 37 2 40 30 0 66 35 0





SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 46 35 2 43 33 3 50 36 3 64 38 1 48 33 0
ERROR PTS: 1 1 0 5 2 3 4 0 3 7 1 3 8 3 0

48HR FCST: 47 33 1 48 35 3 66 38 0 48 33 0 63 39 0
ERROR PTS: 9 2 9 2 1 3 9 1 6 8 3 0 3 4 0


FORECASTER: Obee
24HR FCST: 47 36 3 39 33 3 45 36 2 58 37 2 48 31 0
ERROR PTS: 0 2 3 1 2 3 1 0 6 1 0 0 8 1 0

48HR FCST: 43 35 2 42 35 3 64 37 1 47 32 0 63 37 0
ERROR PTS: 5 0 6 4 1 3 7 0 3 7 2 0 3 2 0


FORECASTER: Morrill
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 39 33 3 46 37 2 65 38 2 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 2 6 1 2 3 0 1 6 8 1 0 17 7 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 45 36 3 66 37 2 48 31 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 1 6 1 0 3 9 0 0 8 1 0 26 5 0


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 50 38 3 43 32 3 45 36 2 64 38 2 45 32 0
ERROR PTS: 3 4 3 5 3 3 1 0 6 7 1 0 5 2 0

48HR FCST: 45 32 3 48 36 4 63 39 3 47 31 0 59 39 0
ERROR PTS: 7 3 3 2 0 0 6 2 3 7 1 0 7 4 0


FORECASTER: Chapman
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 45 31 3 46 34 2 66 39 2 48 34 0
ERROR PTS: 14 2 6 7 4 3 0 2 6 9 2 0 8 4 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 47 33 3 66 42 2 51 35 0 60 40 0
ERROR PTS: 9 1 6 1 3 3 9 5 0 11 5 0 6 5 0


FORECASTER: Walker
24HR FCST: 50 40 2 42 32 2 45 40 2 62 40 2 45 30 0
ERROR PTS: 3 6 0 4 3 6 1 4 6 5 3 0 5 0 0

48HR FCST: 45 32 1 48 38 2 65 40 2 50 30 0 62 38 0
ERROR PTS: 7 3 9 2 2 6 8 3 0 10 0 0 4 3 0


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 49 35 3 45 34 2 48 36 2 64 39 1 47 33 0
ERROR PTS: 2 1 3 7 1 6 2 0 6 7 2 3 7 3 0

48HR FCST: 45 34 2 50 35 2 64 39 0 47 32 0 61 41 0
ERROR PTS: 7 1 6 4 1 6 7 2 6 7 2 0 5 6 0


FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 49 33 2 999 999 999 45 37 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 1 0 9 1 6 1 1 6 11 1 6 17 7 6

48HR FCST: 46 32 1 999 999 999 60 40 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 3 9 8 1 0 3 3 0 17 7 6 26 5 0


FORECASTER: Makower-Brown
24HR FCST: 50 31 2 38 32 2 999 999 999 62 37 2 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 3 3 0 0 3 6 8 1 0 5 0 0 17 7 6

48HR FCST: 45 33 0 43 40 2 999 999 999 47 31 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 7 2 12 3 4 6 11 1 6 7 1 0 26 5 0


FORECASTER: Juliano
24HR FCST: 50 39 2 999 999 999 44 33 2 63 36 2 47 33 1
ERROR PTS: 3 5 0 9 1 6 2 3 6 6 1 0 7 3 3

48HR FCST: 45 31 1 999 999 999 63 41 2 47 37 0 66 36 0
ERROR PTS: 7 4 9 8 1 0 6 4 0 7 7 0 0 1 0


FORECASTER: Constantino
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 2 6 9 1 6 8 1 0 11 1 6 17 7 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 1 6 8 1 0 11 1 6 17 7 6 26 5 0


FORECASTER: Murphy
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 2 6 9 1 6 8 1 0 11 1 6 17 7 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 1 6 8 1 0 11 1 6 17 7 6 26 5 0


FORECASTER: Scully
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 2 6 9 1 6 8 1 0 11 1 6 17 7 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 1 6 8 1 0 11 1 6 17 7 6 26 5 0


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 2 6 9 1 6 8 1 0 11 1 6 17 7 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 1 6 8 1 0 11 1 6 17 7 6 26 5 0