Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

Corrected week 1 standings are now posted below
   

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
Binghamton National Weather Service office


Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws"

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


(note:  CONSENSUS is the average of the best and worst error points, GUIDANCE is the NWS forecast from approx. 16Z)
 

Spring 2016 ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST


STANDINGS FOR WEEK 1 OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Linek 53 GOLD MEDAL 1 Linek 53
2 Blechman 59 SILVER MEDAL 2 Blechman 59
3 Loveless 70 BRONZE MEDAL 3 Loveless 70
4 Makower-Brown 72 4 Makower-Brown 72
5 GUIDANCE 75 5 GUIDANCE 75
6 Young 90 6 Young 90
7 CONSENSUS 129 7 CONSENSUS 129
8 Murphy 172 8 Murphy 172
9 Martin 205 9 Martin 205
9 PERSISTENCE 205 9 PERSISTENCE 205
9 Bennett 205 9 Bennett 205


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

50 28 0 44 29 2 56 39 4 41 29 0 31 22 0 38 22 0
56 39 4 41 29 0 31 22 0 38 22 0 46 28 0



SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Linek
24HR FCST: 42 32 2 51 37 4 42 22 0 33 21 0 39 22 0
ERROR PTS: 2 3 0 5 2 0 1 7 0 2 1 0 1 0 0

48HR FCST: 52 35 4 40 23 0 33 21 0 38 25 0 41 25 0
ERROR PTS: 4 4 0 1 6 0 2 1 0 0 3 0 5 3 0


FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 40 31 2 52 36 4 40 23 0 35 22 0 38 25 0
ERROR PTS: 4 2 0 4 3 0 1 6 0 4 0 0 0 3 0

48HR FCST: 52 36 4 40 23 0 35 24 0 40 25 0 42 25 0
ERROR PTS: 4 3 0 1 6 0 4 2 0 2 3 0 4 3 0


FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 43 32 1 50 35 3 40 24 0 33 21 0 37 23 0
ERROR PTS: 1 3 3 6 4 3 1 5 0 2 1 0 1 1 0

48HR FCST: 50 35 4 39 22 0 33 23 0 36 26 0 40 23 0
ERROR PTS: 6 4 0 2 7 0 2 1 0 2 4 0 6 5 0


FORECASTER: Makower-Brown
24HR FCST: 42 34 2 53 37 4 40 32 0 32 19 0 38 22 0
ERROR PTS: 2 5 0 3 2 0 1 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 0

48HR FCST: 50 36 4 39 22 0 43 28 0 37 25 0 39 23 0
ERROR PTS: 6 3 0 2 7 0 12 6 0 1 3 0 7 5 0


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 42 29 2 51 37 5 41 23 0 35 20 0 39 20 0
ERROR PTS: 2 0 0 5 2 3 0 6 0 4 2 0 1 2 0

48HR FCST: 50 30 3 40 23 0 33 24 0 39 24 0 38 20 0
ERROR PTS: 6 9 3 1 6 0 2 2 0 1 2 0 8 8 0


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 52 37 4 40 24 0 34 23 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 1 6 4 2 0 1 5 0 3 1 0 7 0 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 39 24 0 33 22 0 39 20 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 12 10 6 2 5 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 8 6 0


FORECASTER: Murphy
24HR FCST: 46 30 3 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 1 3 12 10 6 15 10 12 10 7 0 7 0 0

48HR FCST: 57 38 4 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 0 15 10 12 10 7 0 7 0 0 8 6 0


FORECASTER: Martin
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 1 6 12 10 6 15 10 12 10 7 0 7 0 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 12 10 6 15 10 12 10 7 0 7 0 0 8 6 0


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 1 6 12 10 6 15 10 12 10 7 0 7 0 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 12 10 6 15 10 12 10 7 0 7 0 0 8 6 0


FORECASTER: Bennett
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 1 6 12 10 6 15 10 12 10 7 0 7 0 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 12 10 6 15 10 12 10 7 0 7 0 0 8 6 0