Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

   Final results are posted.  Scroll down.
The Fall contest is over.  Thank you to all who participated.
Watch this site for news about the Spring 2017 forecasting contest.
 

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Binghamton National Weather Service office (this site has forecasts)


Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws"

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


           
ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

STANDINGS FOR WEEK 11 FINAL OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Blechman 39 GOLD MEDAL 1 Blechman 720
2 GUIDANCE 46 SILVER MEDAL 2 Young 738
3 Young 55 BRONZE MEDAL 3 GUIDANCE 758
4 Miles 59 4 Linek 809
5 Linek 60 5 Loveless 877
6 Loveless 61 6 Miles 1035
7 Brown 62 7 Brown 1056
8 Beitscher 70 8 Bennett 1119
9 Caraballo 80 9 Beitscher 1279
10 CONSENSUS 83 10 CONSENSUS 1284
11 Bennett 118 11 Caraballo 1362
12 Rivas 127 12 Rivas 1487
12 Martin 127 13 Martin 1560
12 Chapman 127 14 Chapman 1598
12 Constantino 127 15 Constantino 1746
12 Hannigan 127 16 Hannigan 1747
12 Balnis 127 17 Balnis 1800
12 PERSISTENCE 127 18 PERSISTENCE 1816
12 Lebkuecher 127 19 Lebkuecher 1820


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

37 32 0 41 32 3 40 31 0 35 24 1 27 16 1 25 16 0
40 31 0 35 24 1 27 16 1 25 16 0 34 18 3


SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.


NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 37 32 2 39 29 0 33 22 1 28 18 2 25 15 0
ERROR PTS: 4 0 3 1 2 0 2 2 0 1 2 3 0 1 0

48HR FCST: 39 29 1 33 22 1 28 18 1 25 17 0 32 16 3
ERROR PTS: 1 2 3 2 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 0


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 40 31 2 40 26 0 34 24 2 27 17 2 27 16 1
ERROR PTS: 1 1 3 0 5 0 1 0 3 0 1 3 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 39 26 0 33 23 1 28 17 3 27 16 1 28 17 2
ERROR PTS: 1 5 0 2 1 0 1 1 6 2 0 3 6 1 3


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 38 30 3 39 26 0 36 23 2 27 17 2 26 16 1
ERROR PTS: 3 2 0 1 5 0 1 1 3 0 1 3 1 0 3

48HR FCST: 38 28 1 35 23 2 28 18 1 26 15 0 30 17 3
ERROR PTS: 2 3 3 0 1 3 1 2 0 1 1 0 4 1 0


FORECASTER: Linek
24HR FCST: 39 32 2 39 25 2 33 21 1 26 18 2 27 16 1
ERROR PTS: 2 0 3 1 6 6 2 3 0 1 2 3 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 40 30 2 35 21 1 28 17 1 27 16 1 28 21 3
ERROR PTS: 0 1 6 0 3 0 1 1 0 2 0 3 6 3 0


FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 37 31 2 40 26 1 33 23 2 25 18 2 25 15 0
ERROR PTS: 4 1 3 0 5 3 2 1 3 2 2 3 0 1 0

48HR FCST: 38 27 1 33 23 1 26 17 2 25 16 0 28 20 1
ERROR PTS: 2 4 3 2 1 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 6 2 6


FORECASTER: Miles
24HR FCST: 38 33 1 39 27 0 34 23 0 26 19 2 27 16 0
ERROR PTS: 3 1 6 1 4 0 1 1 3 1 3 3 2 0 0

48HR FCST: 39 27 1 34 24 1 28 17 2 25 16 0 29 23 1
ERROR PTS: 1 4 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 5 5 6


FORECASTER: Brown
24HR FCST: 39 32 0 40 27 0 34 24 0 26 19 0 27 15 0
ERROR PTS: 2 0 9 0 4 0 1 0 3 1 3 3 2 1 0

48HR FCST: 39 28 0 36 24 0 28 17 1 26 16 0 28 25 0
ERROR PTS: 1 3 0 1 0 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 6 7 9


FORECASTER: Bennett
24HR FCST: 37 33 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 1 3 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 39 28 1 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 3 3 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: Beitscher
24HR FCST: 42 32 0 41 27 0 35 24 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 0 9 1 4 0 0 0 0 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 40 26 1 35 24 1 28 16 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 5 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: Caraballo
24HR FCST: 38 32 2 36 28 1 34 23 2 24 16 2 26 16 1
ERROR PTS: 3 0 3 4 3 3 1 1 3 3 0 3 1 0 3

48HR FCST: 38 28 0 35 22 1 28 19 4 25 15 2 28 25 0
ERROR PTS: 2 3 0 0 2 0 1 3 9 0 1 6 6 7 9


FORECASTER: Rivas
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 0 9 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: Martin
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 0 9 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: Chapman
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 0 9 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: Constantino
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 0 9 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: Hannigan
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 0 9 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: Balnis
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 0 9 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 0 9 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9


FORECASTER: Lebkuecher
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 0 9 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 1 9 5 7 3 8 8 0 2 0 3 9 2 9