Oneonta State Forecasting Contest


Week 7 results are posted below.

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Images by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
Binghamton National Weather Service office

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


Results
(note:  CONSENSUS is the average of the best and worst error points, GUIDANCE is the NWS forecast from approx. 16Z)


  ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

STANDINGS FOR WEEK 7 OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Blechman 61 GOLD MEDAL 1 Loveless 396
2 Morrill 70 SILVER MEDAL 2 Blechman 417
3 Loveless 71 BRONZE MEDAL 3 Linek 444
4 Linek 72 4 GUIDANCE 447
5 Chapman 73 5 Young 457
6 GUIDANCE 74 6 Morrill 459
7 Young 82 7 Makower-Brown 530
8 Makower-Brown 93 8 Byrnes 553
9 Gaynor 94 9 Walker 562
10 Juliano 101 10 Lyakhov 582
11 Visnosky 103 11 Gaynor 596
12 Walker 104 12 Galligan 609
13 CONSENSUS 107 13 Visnosky 625
14 Byrnes 116 14 Chapman 656
15 Galligan 123 15 CONSENSUS 661
16 Scully 135 16 Juliano 662
17 Graham 136 17 Baum 740
18 Lyakhov 154 18 Graham 776
18 Baum 154 19 Scully 830
18 Dubbs 154 20 Dubbs 871
18 Berchoff 154 21 Berchoff 902
18 PERSISTENCE 154 22 PERSISTENCE 1035


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

52 37 0 56 47 2 50 43 3 45 43 3 58 38 0 61 43 2
50 43 3 45 43 3 58 38 0 61 43 2 46 42 2





SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 56 42 2 50 40 2 49 40 2 56 39 0 61 43 2
ERROR PTS: 0 5 0 0 3 3 4 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0

48HR FCST: 50 39 2 50 40 2 54 38 0 61 42 0 53 37 0
ERROR PTS: 0 4 3 5 3 3 4 0 0 0 1 6 7 5 6


FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 54 44 2 49 40 3 47 42 3 53 38 0 59 43 1
ERROR PTS: 2 3 0 1 3 0 2 1 0 5 0 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 47 40 4 47 42 4 53 38 0 56 43 2 49 37 0
ERROR PTS: 3 3 3 2 1 3 5 0 0 5 0 0 3 5 6


FORECASTER: Linek
24HR FCST: 57 46 2 52 42 2 49 41 2 55 38 0 59 43 1
ERROR PTS: 1 1 0 2 1 3 4 2 3 3 0 0 2 0 3

48HR FCST: 52 43 2 49 43 2 55 42 1 59 41 0 52 39 0
ERROR PTS: 2 0 3 4 0 3 3 4 3 2 2 6 6 3 6


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 56 43 3 51 40 3 47 40 4 55 36 0 59 42 1
ERROR PTS: 0 4 3 1 3 0 2 3 3 3 2 0 2 1 3

48HR FCST: 50 39 3 49 41 3 52 40 1 59 41 1 52 38 0
ERROR PTS: 0 4 0 4 2 0 6 2 3 2 2 3 6 4 6


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 59 43 3 52 40 2 49 41 2 57 40 0 61 43 0
ERROR PTS: 3 4 3 2 3 3 4 2 3 1 2 0 0 0 6

48HR FCST: 51 42 2 51 38 2 55 42 0 61 42 0 51 40 0
ERROR PTS: 1 1 3 6 5 3 3 4 0 0 1 6 5 2 6


FORECASTER: Morrill
24HR FCST: 58 44 3 52 43 3 48 42 3 56 37 0 59 47 0
ERROR PTS: 2 3 3 2 0 0 3 1 0 2 1 0 2 4 6

48HR FCST: 49 40 3 50 44 3 53 39 1 60 43 0 51 38 0
ERROR PTS: 1 3 0 5 1 0 5 1 3 1 0 6 5 4 6


FORECASTER: MakowerBrown
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 51 40 2 47 41 3 58 36 0 60 45 0
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 1 3 3 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 2 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 49 42 3 54 38 1 60 41 0 52 37 0
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 4 1 0 4 0 3 1 2 6 6 5 6


FORECASTER: Byrnes
24HR FCST: 56 43 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 46 37 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 4 0 6 4 3 5 0 0 12 1 0 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 50 46 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 55 42 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 0 3 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 6 1 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Walker
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 50 40 2 48 40 3 55 35 1 59 41 1
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 0 3 3 3 3 0 3 3 3 2 2 3

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 50 40 2 53 38 1 58 40 1 51 38 0
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 3 3 5 0 3 3 3 3 5 4 6


FORECASTER: Lyakhov
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Gaynor
24HR FCST: 59 44 3 54 43 3 47 41 2 56 38 1 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 3 3 3 4 0 0 2 2 3 2 0 3 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 54 42 3 51 41 2 53 41 1 59 39 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 1 0 6 2 3 5 3 3 2 4 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Galligan
24HR FCST: 62 43 2 54 40 2 50 40 3 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 0 4 3 3 5 3 0 13 5 9 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 53 39 2 52 41 3 56 38 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 3 4 3 7 2 0 2 0 3 3 5 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Visnosky
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 50 43 3 58 37 1 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 4 3 5 0 0 0 1 3 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 56 39 1 60 43 0 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 0 0 2 1 3 1 0 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Chapman
24HR FCST: 57 44 2 49 40 3 49 41 3 55 37 0 60 40 0
ERROR PTS: 1 3 0 1 3 0 4 2 0 3 1 0 1 3 6

48HR FCST: 51 39 3 50 43 3 52 41 0 58 42 0 53 39 0
ERROR PTS: 1 4 0 5 0 0 6 3 0 3 1 6 7 3 6


FORECASTER: Juliano
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 56 44 2 47 40 2 56 40 0 60 36 0
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 1 3 2 3 3 2 2 0 1 7 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 50 40 2 51 38 0 60 41 0 50 43 2
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 3 3 7 0 0 1 2 6 4 1 0


FORECASTER: Baum
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Graham
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 49 41 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 4 3 4 2 3 13 5 9 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 55 40 0 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 0 0 3 2 0 3 5 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Scully
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 47 41 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 4 3 2 2 3 13 5 9 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 54 36 0 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 0 0 4 2 0 3 5 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Dubbs
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: Berchoff
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6 15 1 0


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 10 6 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 6 4 3 5 0 0 13 5 9 3 5 6 15 1 0