Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

Results from the new week 5 are posted below.  Scroll down.

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Binghamton National Weather Service office (this site has forecasts)


Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws"

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


         

Spring 2017 ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST


STANDINGS FOR WEEK 5 OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Blechman 74 GOLD MEDAL 1 Young 323
2 Young 76 SILVER MEDAL 2 Blechman 355
3 Chapman 87 BRONZE MEDAL 3 GUIDANCE 410
4 GUIDANCE 91 4 Miles 583
5 Miles 105 5 Caraballo 617
6 Caraballo 111 6 Brown 620
7 CONSENSUS 113 7 CONSENSUS 627
8 Beitscher 121 8 Beitscher 648
9 Brown 130 9 Chapman 719
10 Pennington 153 10 Pennington 754
10 Constantino 153 11 Constantino 889
10 PERSISTENCE 153 12 PERSISTENCE 975


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

29 11 4 20 11 5 18 13 2 28 18 0 39 12 0 37 17 2
18 13 2 28 18 0 39 12 0 37 17 2 42 19 0





SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 24 13 4 20 14 2 23 17 0 34 18 0 35 23 2
ERROR PTS: 4 2 3 2 1 0 5 1 0 5 6 0 2 6 0

48HR FCST: 21 12 2 23 16 0 34 20 1 36 25 2 39 19 0
ERROR PTS: 3 1 0 5 2 0 5 8 3 1 8 0 3 0 0


FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 24 13 5 19 12 2 24 15 0 34 17 1 35 22 2
ERROR PTS: 4 2 0 1 1 0 4 3 0 5 5 3 2 5 0

48HR FCST: 19 12 2 24 15 0 34 19 1 35 22 3 38 20 0
ERROR PTS: 1 1 0 4 3 0 5 7 3 2 5 3 4 1 0


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 24 12 4 19 14 2 24 12 1 32 15 1 36 15 2
ERROR PTS: 4 1 3 1 1 0 4 6 3 7 3 3 1 2 0

48HR FCST: 21 12 2 22 15 0 32 15 2 34 24 3 37 17 1
ERROR PTS: 3 1 0 6 3 0 7 3 6 3 7 3 5 2 3


FORECASTER: Miles
24HR FCST: 24 12 5 999 999 999 22 18 0 31 13 0 36 23 1
ERROR PTS: 4 1 0 2 2 9 6 0 0 8 1 0 1 6 3

48HR FCST: 21 12 2 999 999 999 33 25 0 35 24 1 38 17 0
ERROR PTS: 3 1 0 10 5 6 6 13 0 2 7 3 4 2 0


FORECASTER: Caraballo
24HR FCST: 24 13 4 19 12 2 22 17 1 30 14 0 35 24 1
ERROR PTS: 4 2 3 1 1 0 6 1 3 9 2 0 2 7 3

48HR FCST: 20 12 3 22 13 2 32 25 0 34 23 0 36 16 0
ERROR PTS: 2 1 3 6 5 6 7 13 0 3 6 6 6 3 0


FORECASTER: Brown
24HR FCST: 25 13 1 999 999 999 22 18 0 32 13 0 36 23 0
ERROR PTS: 5 2 12 2 2 9 6 0 0 7 1 0 1 6 6

48HR FCST: 22 12 0 999 999 999 33 25 0 35 23 0 37 18 0
ERROR PTS: 4 1 6 10 5 6 6 13 0 2 6 6 5 1 0


FORECASTER: Beitscher
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 20 11 2 999 999 999 35 10 1 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 0 3 2 2 0 10 5 6 4 2 3 2 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 23 14 1 999 999 999 37 21 1 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 2 9 5 4 3 11 6 0 0 4 3 5 2 6


FORECASTER: Chapman
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 18 13 2 22 14 1 34 14 0 36 18 2
ERROR PTS: 9 0 3 0 0 0 6 4 3 5 2 0 1 1 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 24 14 0 34 19 2 37 23 2 38 15 0
ERROR PTS: 2 2 9 4 4 0 5 7 6 0 6 0 4 4 0


FORECASTER: Pennington
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 0 3 2 2 9 10 5 6 11 6 0 2 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 2 9 10 5 6 11 6 0 2 5 6 5 2 6


FORECASTER: Constantino
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 0 3 2 2 9 10 5 6 11 6 0 2 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 2 9 10 5 6 11 6 0 2 5 6 5 2 6


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 9 0 3 2 2 9 10 5 6 11 6 0 2 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 2 9 10 5 6 11 6 0 2 5 6 5 2 6