Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

The Forecast Contest is now OVER for Spring 2008

Results from week 12 are posted.  Thanks to all the participants.

Have a good summer

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman


               

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

  • Surface maps from the HPC
  • Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
  • Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
  • National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
  • NCEP model forecast maps
  • Surface progs from HPC
  • Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
  • Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS

  • To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

    UserCode:

    Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

    To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


    Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


     


    ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST
    Final Results - Spring 2008

              STANDINGS FOR WEEK 12                         OVERALL STANDINGS

    PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


    1 Jackson 89 GOLD MEDAL 1 Blechman 1034
    2 Juliano 104 SILVER MEDAL 2 Dunn 1229
    3 GUIDANCE 107 BRONZE MEDAL 3 Juliano 1345
    4 Blechman 110 4 GUIDANCE 1351
    5 Dunn 135 5 Constantino 1398
    6 Thompson 139 6 Dowtin 1468
    7 Hosmer 154 7 Thompson 1497
    8 Dowtin 161 8 Stevens 1544
    9 Constantino 173 9 Jackson 1607
    10 Stevens 196 10 Hosmer 1742
    10 Oneill 196 11 Oneill 1863
    10 Kempton 196 12 Kempton 1953
    10 Feldman 196 13 Feldman 2019
    10 Christian 196 14 Christian 2099
    10 PERSISTENCE 196 14 PERSISTENCE 2099


    VERIFICATIONS:
    PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

    52 35 3 44 30 0 46 23 0 60 40 2 64 49 1 63 47 3
    46 23 0 60 40 2 64 49 1 63 47 3 55 32 0





    SCORING:
    ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
    THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
    999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



    NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

    FORECASTER: Blechman
    24HR FCST: 47 30 1 48 30 0 51 41 3 58 47 2 65 49 2
    ERROR PTS: 3 0 3 2 7 0 9 1 3 6 2 3 2 2 3

    48HR FCST: 50 28 0 49 39 3 56 49 2 67 49 1 60 44 0
    ERROR PTS: 4 5 0 11 1 3 8 0 3 4 2 6 5 12 0


    FORECASTER: Dunn
    24HR FCST: 49 30 2 52 30 0 999 999 999 999 999 999 62 47 2
    ERROR PTS: 5 0 6 6 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 0 3

    48HR FCST: 48 28 0 57 43 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 57 40 2
    ERROR PTS: 2 5 0 3 3 0 4 9 3 1 2 6 2 8 6


    FORECASTER: Juliano
    24HR FCST: 52 29 2 52 26 0 58 43 2 58 43 2 63 46 2
    ERROR PTS: 8 1 6 6 3 0 2 3 0 6 6 3 0 1 3

    48HR FCST: 53 26 0 51 38 2 66 45 2 64 44 3 56 44 3
    ERROR PTS: 7 3 0 9 2 0 2 4 3 1 3 0 1 12 9


    FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
    24HR FCST: 44 28 1 48 34 0 52 44 1 65 52 1 61 48 3
    ERROR PTS: 0 2 3 2 11 0 8 4 3 1 3 0 2 1 0

    48HR FCST: 43 28 0 53 47 1 58 50 2 64 49 1 59 39 4
    ERROR PTS: 3 5 0 7 7 3 6 1 3 1 2 6 4 7 12


    FORECASTER: Constantino
    24HR FCST: 54 30 0 999 999 999 999 999 999 61 47 2 62 43 2
    ERROR PTS: 10 0 0 2 7 0 14 17 6 3 2 3 1 4 3

    48HR FCST: 55 32 0 999 999 999 999 999 999 62 43 3 65 47 0
    ERROR PTS: 9 9 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 4 0 10 15 0


    FORECASTER: Dowtin
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 56 31 2 66 49 2 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 8 5 9 2 7 0 4 9 0 2 0 3 1 2 6

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 57 43 4 65 48 3 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 14 17 6 7 6 9 2 1 0 8 15 9


    FORECASTER: Thompson
    24HR FCST: 48 30 1 48 34 0 60 44 2 58 50 2 68 50 3
    ERROR PTS: 4 0 3 2 11 0 0 4 0 6 1 3 5 3 0

    48HR FCST: 58 36 3 66 40 1 64 46 3 74 40 3 62 46 2
    ERROR PTS: 12 13 9 6 0 3 0 3 6 11 7 0 7 14 6


    FORECASTER: Stevens
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 8 5 9 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6 8 15 9


    FORECASTER: Jackson
    24HR FCST: 51 27 1 50 29 0 56 40 2 60 46 3 62 47 3
    ERROR PTS: 7 3 3 4 6 0 4 0 0 4 3 6 1 0 0

    48HR FCST: 47 29 0 55 39 2 57 48 2 63 48 2 59 42 2
    ERROR PTS: 1 6 0 5 1 0 7 1 3 0 1 3 4 10 6


    FORECASTER: Hosmer
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 58 41 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 8 5 9 2 7 0 2 1 0 4 9 3 1 2 6

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 59 46 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 14 17 6 5 3 0 1 2 6 8 15 9


    FORECASTER: Oneill
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 8 5 9 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6 8 15 9


    FORECASTER: Kempton
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 8 5 9 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6 8 15 9


    FORECASTER: Feldman
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 8 5 9 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6 8 15 9


    FORECASTER: Christian
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 8 5 9 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6 8 15 9


    FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
    24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 8 5 9 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6

    48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
    ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 14 17 6 4 9 3 1 2 6 8 15 9