Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

Results from week 12 are now available.

Congratulations to David Loveless, our Spring 2014 Champion Forecaster

Forecasting is finished for the semester!

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Images by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
Binghamton National Weather Service office

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage



       





ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

STANDINGS FOR WEEK 12 OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Blechman 56 GOLD MEDAL 1 Loveless 872
2 Loveless 63 SILVER MEDAL 2 Blechman 924
3 GUIDANCE 71 BRONZE MEDAL 3 Linek 988
4 Makower-Brown 83 4 Makower-Brown 1148
5 Linek 84 5 Young 1194
6 CONSENSUS 114 6 GUIDANCE 1257
7 Young 123 7 CONSENSUS 1574
8 Graham 139 8 Graham 1662
9 Morrill 173 9 Morrill 1844
9 Murphy 173 10 Murphy 1925
9 Anthony Baum 173 11 Anthony Baum 1978
9 Amanda Baum 173 12 Amanda Baum 2093
9 Scully 173 13 Scully 2156
9 Shinohara 173 14 Shinohara 2186
9 Constantino 173 15 Constantino 2188
9 PERSISTENCE 173 16 PERSISTENCE 2206
9 Arp 173 17 Arp 2254


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

61 44 0 48 40 3 56 42 4 67 41 1 57 47 0 61 42 2
56 42 4 67 41 1 57 47 0 61 42 2 54 41 1





SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 54 42 3 51 44 5 65 41 1 58 41 1 60 41 2
ERROR PTS: 6 2 0 5 2 3 2 0 0 1 6 3 1 1 0

48HR FCST: 56 45 4 65 40 2 59 40 1 60 42 2 52 37 2
ERROR PTS: 0 3 0 2 1 3 2 7 3 1 0 0 2 4 3


FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 53 40 3 54 42 4 65 43 2 60 41 1 62 41 2
ERROR PTS: 5 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 3 3 6 3 1 1 0

48HR FCST: 54 42 4 65 43 2 59 41 1 62 41 2 52 37 1
ERROR PTS: 2 0 0 2 2 3 2 6 3 1 1 0 2 4 0


FORECASTER: Linek
24HR FCST: 51 40 3 52 44 4 65 44 2 58 43 1 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 3 0 0 4 2 0 2 3 3 1 4 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 54 48 3 66 43 2 59 41 2 62 41 2 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 6 3 1 2 3 2 6 6 1 1 0 7 1 3


FORECASTER: MakowerBrown
24HR FCST: 44 38 4 49 47 5 66 41 2 57 40 2 60 40 2
ERROR PTS: 4 2 3 7 5 3 1 0 3 0 7 6 1 2 0

48HR FCST: 51 42 5 66 41 2 56 40 1 59 39 2 51 36 2
ERROR PTS: 5 0 3 1 0 3 1 7 3 2 3 0 3 5 3


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 53 40 3 55 46 4 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 5 0 0 1 4 0 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 55 46 4 69 44 2 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 1 4 0 2 3 3 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 51 38 3 53 43 4 65 43 4 57 42 1 60 42 1
ERROR PTS: 3 2 0 3 1 0 2 2 9 0 5 3 1 0 3

48HR FCST: 53 46 4 66 41 5 59 43 1 61 43 1 54 37 1
ERROR PTS: 3 4 0 1 0 12 2 4 3 0 1 3 0 4 0


FORECASTER: Graham
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 50 44 3 65 42 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 6 2 3 2 1 0 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 60 45 2 54 41 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 7 4 3 3 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: Morrill
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: Murphy
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: Baum
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: Bauma
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: Scully
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: Shinohara
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: Constantino
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3


FORECASTER: Arp
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 13 4 9 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 2 3 11 1 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 7 1 3