Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

 Week 7 results are posted below.

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
Binghamton National Weather Service office


Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


(note:  CONSENSUS is the average of the best and worst error points, GUIDANCE is the NWS forecast from approx. 16Z)


  
ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

STANDINGS FOR WEEK 7 OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Blechman 54 GOLD MEDAL 1 Blechman 483
2 GUIDANCE 65 SILVER MEDAL 2 Obee 589
3 Morrill 66 BRONZE MEDAL 3 Morrill 617
4 Obee 68 4 Chapman 666
5 Chapman 72 5 GUIDANCE 689
6 Loveless 78 6 Loveless 777
7 Young 111 7 Walker 806
8 Walker 115 8 Young 821
9 Makower-Brown 119 9 CONSENSUS 942
10 CONSENSUS 147 9 Makower-Brown 942
11 Juliano 200 11 Juliano 1071
12 Constantino 241 12 Constantino 1307
12 Murphy 241 13 Murphy 1342
12 Scully 241 14 Scully 1416
12 PERSISTENCE 241 15 PERSISTENCE 1418


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

22 7 0 36 15 0 44 24 2 42 33 4 37 19 0 23 9 0
44 24 2 42 33 4 37 19 0 23 9 0 40 18 1





SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 36 12 0 45 22 2 46 28 4 38 19 0 27 12 0
ERROR PTS: 0 3 0 1 2 0 4 5 0 1 0 0 4 3 0

48HR FCST: 45 22 2 51 28 4 38 19 0 30 12 0 37 18 1
ERROR PTS: 1 2 0 9 5 0 1 0 0 7 3 0 3 0 0


FORECASTER: Obee
24HR FCST: 35 10 0 43 15 2 47 33 4 38 22 1 26 10 1
ERROR PTS: 1 5 0 1 9 0 5 0 0 1 3 3 3 1 3

48HR FCST: 44 19 2 49 35 4 38 16 1 29 10 0 40 13 1
ERROR PTS: 0 5 0 7 2 0 1 3 3 6 1 0 0 5 0


FORECASTER: Morrill
24HR FCST: 33 13 0 42 20 2 45 33 3 38 22 1 27 12 0
ERROR PTS: 3 2 0 2 4 0 3 0 3 1 3 3 4 3 0

48HR FCST: 41 22 2 49 36 3 37 17 1 27 11 0 38 17 0
ERROR PTS: 3 2 0 7 3 3 0 2 3 4 2 0 2 1 3


FORECASTER: Chapman
24HR FCST: 35 8 0 44 23 2 52 34 4 37 17 1 29 9 0
ERROR PTS: 1 7 0 0 1 0 10 1 0 0 2 3 6 0 0

48HR FCST: 42 17 2 53 35 4 39 19 1 29 10 0 39 15 0
ERROR PTS: 2 7 0 11 2 0 2 0 3 6 1 0 1 3 3


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 36 14 0 43 20 2 47 31 4 39 19 0 26 4 0
ERROR PTS: 0 1 0 1 4 0 5 2 0 2 0 0 3 5 0

48HR FCST: 46 26 2 49 30 4 36 14 1 27 11 0 35 10 1
ERROR PTS: 2 2 0 7 3 0 1 5 3 4 2 0 5 8 0


FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 33 12 0 41 16 1 45 29 3 36 19 0 25 7 0
ERROR PTS: 3 3 0 3 8 3 3 4 3 1 0 0 2 2 0

48HR FCST: 41 26 2 47 34 2 33 13 0 24 10 0 35 12 0
ERROR PTS: 3 2 0 5 1 6 4 6 0 1 1 0 5 6 3


FORECASTER: Walker
24HR FCST: 35 20 0 999 999 999 45 30 2 40 20 1 30 10 0
ERROR PTS: 1 5 0 8 9 6 3 3 6 3 1 3 7 1 0

48HR FCST: 40 36 2 999 999 999 35 15 0 30 15 0 40 25 1
ERROR PTS: 4 12 0 2 9 6 2 4 0 7 6 0 0 7 0


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 32 12 0 42 18 2 45 32 4 999 999 999 25 11 0
ERROR PTS: 4 3 0 2 6 0 3 1 0 5 14 12 2 2 0

48HR FCST: 43 19 2 48 34 3 36 15 1 999 999 999 35 14 1
ERROR PTS: 1 5 0 6 1 3 1 4 3 14 10 0 5 4 0


FORECASTER: Makower-Brown
24HR FCST: 32 19 0 41 35 2 999 999 999 37 19 0 25 9 0
ERROR PTS: 4 4 0 3 11 0 2 9 6 0 0 0 2 0 0

48HR FCST: 42 36 1 48 31 3 999 999 999 25 10 0 35 26 0
ERROR PTS: 2 12 3 6 2 3 5 14 12 2 1 0 5 8 3


FORECASTER: Juliano
24HR FCST: 32 7 0 999 999 999 45 33 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 4 8 0 8 9 6 3 0 6 5 14 12 14 10 0

48HR FCST: 42 19 0 999 999 999 35 29 2 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 2 5 6 2 9 6 2 10 6 14 10 0 17 9 3


FORECASTER: Constantino
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 8 0 8 9 6 2 9 6 5 14 12 14 10 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 9 6 2 9 6 5 14 12 14 10 0 17 9 3


FORECASTER: Murphy
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 8 0 8 9 6 2 9 6 5 14 12 14 10 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 9 6 2 9 6 5 14 12 14 10 0 17 9 3


FORECASTER: Scully
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 8 0 8 9 6 2 9 6 5 14 12 14 10 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 9 6 2 9 6 5 14 12 14 10 0 17 9 3


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 14 8 0 8 9 6 2 9 6 5 14 12 14 10 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 8 9 6 2 9 6 5 14 12 14 10 0 17 9 3