Oneonta State Forecasting Contest

Forecasting for Spring 2015 is now over.  Thanks to all who participated.  

 Final results are posted below.

To read the rules of the contest, click here.

If you have a problem or need information, click here to send e-mail to Dr. Blechman

         
Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws" 

Enter your forecasts with the "Enter Forecast" button below
        
    

Here are some links you might find helpful in making your forecast:

Surface maps from the WPC
  Upper Air images from NCAR-RAP
Satellite images from NCAR-RAP
National Radar mosaic from the NWS (click to zoom to a station)
NCEP model forecast maps
Unisys Weather
Surface progs from WPC

College of DuPage NeXt Generation Weather Lab
Eta, GFS, NGM mos forecasts for BGM
Texas A&M Weather Interface (numerical guidance - KBGM is our closest station)
Zone forecast for Oneonta from BGM NWS
Binghamton National Weather Service office


Image by Jeff Bucchino, the "Wizard of Draws"

To enter a forecast, type your usercode and click the enter button:

UserCode:



If you have trouble entering your forecast, send your forecast via e-mail to Dr. Blechman

Important: You must be registered in the contest for it to recognize you.

To join the contest and get a usercode, see or e-mail Dr. Blechman


Click here to go to the Oneonta Meteorology Homepage


(note:  CONSENSUS is the average of the best and worst error points, GUIDANCE is the NWS forecast from approx. 16Z)

ONEONTA STATE FORECASTING CONTEST

STANDINGS FOR WEEK 12 Final OVERALL STANDINGS

PLACE NAME POINTS PLACE NAME POINTS


1 Young 58 GOLD MEDAL 1 Blechman 878
2 MakowerBrown 60 SILVER MEDAL 2 Obee 962
3 Chapman 62 BRONZE MEDAL 3 Morrill 1112
4 Walker 63 4 GUIDANCE 1124
5 Blechman 71 5 Chapman 1143
6 Obee 73 6 Walker 1235
6 Juliano 73 7 Young 1307
8 CONSENSUS 81 8 Loveless 1357
9 GUIDANCE 83 9 MakowerBrown 1465
10 Morrill 102 10 CONSENSUS 1542
11 Loveless 104 11 Juliano 1675
11 Constantino 104 12 Constantino 2166
11 Murphy 104 13 Murphy 2201
11 Scully 104 14 Scully 2275
11 PERSISTENCE 104 15 PERSISTENCE 2277


VERIFICATIONS:
PERSISTENCE DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

49 41 1 59 42 0 66 41 0 67 48 0 61 39 0 68 41 0
66 41 0 67 48 0 61 39 0 68 41 0 75 44 0



SCORING:
ONE (1) POINT IS ASSIGNED FOR EACH DEGREE OF TEMPERATURE ERROR.
THREE (3) POINTS ARE ASSIGNED FOR EACH PRECIPITATION CATEGORY ERROR.
999 INDICATES NO FORECAST WAS MADE AND A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS ASSIGNED.



NAME DAY 1 DAY 2 DAY 3 DAY 4 DAY 5

FORECASTER: Blechman
24HR FCST: 56 43 0 68 45 0 64 45 1 60 43 1 67 47 0
ERROR PTS: 3 1 0 2 4 0 3 3 3 1 4 3 1 6 0

48HR FCST: 68 45 0 62 47 1 60 43 1 66 44 0 72 50 0
ERROR PTS: 2 4 0 5 1 3 1 4 3 2 3 0 3 6 0


FORECASTER: Obee
24HR FCST: 57 40 0 65 41 0 62 42 0 58 44 1 71 48 0
ERROR PTS: 2 2 0 1 0 0 5 6 0 3 5 3 3 7 0

48HR FCST: 63 41 0 60 42 1 58 41 1 68 44 0 73 48 0
ERROR PTS: 3 0 0 7 6 3 3 2 3 0 3 0 2 4 0


FORECASTER: Morrill
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 65 43 0 65 43 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 10 1 3 1 2 0 2 5 3 6 9 0 7 2 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 62 42 2 59 41 1 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 7 1 0 5 6 6 2 2 3 7 2 0 7 3 0


FORECASTER: GUIDANCE
24HR FCST: 58 39 0 63 41 0 63 41 1 61 45 1 68 50 1
ERROR PTS: 1 3 0 3 0 0 4 7 3 0 6 3 0 9 3

48HR FCST: 64 40 0 63 40 2 58 40 1 65 42 0 70 45 1
ERROR PTS: 2 1 0 4 8 6 3 1 3 3 1 0 5 1 3


FORECASTER: Chapman
24HR FCST: 59 38 0 62 39 0 64 39 0 60 40 1 66 45 0
ERROR PTS: 0 4 0 4 2 0 3 9 0 1 1 3 2 4 0

48HR FCST: 63 40 0 64 43 2 60 38 1 66 41 0 71 44 0
ERROR PTS: 3 1 0 3 5 6 1 1 3 2 0 0 4 0 0


FORECASTER: Walker
24HR FCST: 60 38 0 63 39 0 62 42 0 62 42 1 65 40 0
ERROR PTS: 1 4 0 3 2 0 5 6 0 1 3 3 3 1 0

48HR FCST: 63 40 0 60 40 0 60 40 0 65 40 0 70 45 0
ERROR PTS: 3 1 0 7 8 0 1 1 0 3 1 0 5 1 0


FORECASTER: Young
24HR FCST: 58 40 0 65 43 0 65 43 0 60 44 0 70 49 0
ERROR PTS: 1 2 0 1 2 0 2 5 0 1 5 0 2 8 0

48HR FCST: 65 43 0 64 44 0 60 44 0 68 45 0 72 50 0
ERROR PTS: 1 2 0 3 4 0 1 5 0 0 4 0 3 6 0


FORECASTER: Loveless
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 10 1 3 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0 7 3 0


FORECASTER: MakowerBrown
24HR FCST: 55 35 0 63 40 0 62 42 0 61 42 0 69 42 0
ERROR PTS: 4 7 0 3 1 0 5 6 0 0 3 0 1 1 0

48HR FCST: 65 39 0 62 41 0 58 40 0 66 42 0 71 47 0
ERROR PTS: 1 2 0 5 7 0 3 1 0 2 1 0 4 3 0


FORECASTER: Juliano
24HR FCST: 55 36 1 63 40 0 62 41 0 61 44 0 69 41 0
ERROR PTS: 4 6 3 3 1 0 5 7 0 0 5 0 1 0 0

48HR FCST: 65 35 0 62 40 0 58 42 0 67 46 0 71 42 0
ERROR PTS: 1 6 0 5 8 0 3 3 0 1 5 0 4 2 0


FORECASTER: Constantino
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 10 1 3 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0 7 3 0


FORECASTER: Murphy
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 10 1 3 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0 7 3 0


FORECASTER: Scully
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 10 1 3 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0 7 3 0


FORECASTER: PERSISTENCE
24HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 10 1 3 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0

48HR FCST: 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999
ERROR PTS: 7 1 0 1 7 0 6 9 0 7 2 0 7 3 0