Wednesday - May 14, 2014

Forecast Discussion

Periods of rain and sunshine will continue for the next two days before more prolonged precipitation occurs on Friday. Things clear out and cool down for the weekend and look to remain mostly dry into the start of next week.

Mostly sunny conditions dominate central New York at the moment. With the sun out temperatrues will get quite warm during the day today. Cold front is still located out to the west of the region, keeping us in the warm sector of this system with sustained southerly winds. Cold will trigger storms during the day once again today, and these storms will progress eastward overnight. Could be looking at a thunderstorm or two overnight, but chance of precipitation is rather low still.

Similar set up for Thursday, with the cold front triggering storms to the west and we have the chance of getting one fo them during the day. The front moves closer overnight on Thursday, and into Friday morning, increasing our chance for storms and rain in general.

Friday looking like a prolonged period of heavy rain, up to 1.5" according to the Weather Prediction Center guidance. Considering current river levels, we could be looking at minor flooding. Particular concern will be for the small creeks and streams that are suseptible during locally heavy rainfall. Will continue to monitor NWS guidance for updates with potential flooding.

Precipitation ends Saturday morning, with cooler air settiling into the region, temperatures in the mid 60's. Looking like a nice day for the Commencement Ceremony on Saturday.

Sunday should remain dry as well, with a slight chance for a passing shower on Monday. But overall, looking like a dry start to next week as well.

Last updated by David Loveless on 5/14/14 at 10:40 am